aijobimpactcalculator.com
Menu

Occupation deep dive / O*NET-SOC 27-1024.00 / Last verified April 2026

Will AI replace graphic designers?

ILO 2025 places graphic designers in the high exposure gradient. Routine layout and asset production are technically and contextually feasible for current generative image and design tools; concepting and brand-system stewardship remain exposed but human-led.

Panel 1 / Exposure

High exposure

LOWMODERATEHIGHVERY HIGHILO 2025 EXPOSURE GRADIENT

ILO 2025 places graphic designers in the high exposure gradient. Routine layout and asset production are technically and contextually feasible for current generative image and design tools; concepting and brand-system stewardship remain exposed but human-led.

Source: ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index. ISCO-08 mapping 2166. View methodology.

Panel 2 / Tasks

Top tasks for this role

  • Create designs, concepts, and sample layouts based on knowledge of layout principles and aesthetic design concepts.

    AI image generation produces draft layouts; final concepting that meets brand and brief constraints remains human.

  • Determine size and arrangement of illustrative material and copy, and select style and size of type.

    Routine layout selection is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.

  • Use computer software to generate new images.

    Image generation from prompt or brief is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.

  • Confer with clients to discuss and determine layout design.

    Client discovery and brief refinement are augmentation-prone per Brookings 2024 and grow as AI handles more discrete production.

  • Develop graphics and layouts for product illustrations, company logos, and websites.

    AI is producing first-draft logos and layouts; brand-system and identity work remain human for differentiation.

Source: O*NET 30.2 task list (CC-BY 4.0); Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. View methodology.

Panel 3 / What is growing

Growth and skills outlook

BLS 2024-2034

Average

+2% projected change (+5k jobs).

WEF 2025 / Top growing skills relevant to this role

  • Creative thinking (Cognitive)
  • AI and big data (Technology)
  • Technological literacy (Technology)

Brookings 2024 finds graphic-design production tasks highly exposed; client discovery, brand stewardship, and creative-direction roles are augmentation-prone.

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034; WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025. View methodology.

What this occupation does

Graphic designers design or create graphics to meet specific commercial or promotional needs, such as packaging, displays, or logos. The role spans concepting, layout, typography, illustration, brand systems, and production-ready file delivery across print and digital media.

The exposure score in context

The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places graphic designers in the high exposure gradient. ILO 2025 places graphic designers in the high exposure gradient. Routine layout and asset production are technically and contextually feasible for current generative image and design tools; concepting and brand-system stewardship remain exposed but human-led.

The mapping uses ISCO-08 code 2166 (BLS-published SOC-to-ISCO crosswalk). The full methodology, including the dominant-match rule for one-to-many crosswalks, is at /methodology/#algorithm.

The top five tasks, classified

The top five O*NET 30.2 tasks for this occupation, each tagged Displaceable / Changing / Growing per the Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. The tag definitions are at /glossary/#displaceable-task, /glossary/#changing-task, and /glossary/#growing-task.

  1. Changing: Create designs, concepts, and sample layouts based on knowledge of layout principles and aesthetic design concepts. AI image generation produces draft layouts; final concepting that meets brand and brief constraints remains human.
  2. Displaceable: Determine size and arrangement of illustrative material and copy, and select style and size of type. Routine layout selection is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.
  3. Displaceable: Use computer software to generate new images. Image generation from prompt or brief is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.
  4. Growing: Confer with clients to discuss and determine layout design. Client discovery and brief refinement are augmentation-prone per Brookings 2024 and grow as AI handles more discrete production.
  5. Changing: Develop graphics and layouts for product illustrations, company logos, and websites. AI is producing first-draft logos and layouts; brand-system and identity work remain human for differentiation.

What is growing in this role

The BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034 outlook for graphic designers is average (+2% projected change, +5k jobs). Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top three growing skills relevant to this role are: Creative thinking, AI and big data, Technological literacy. The skills are mapped to the occupation's O*NET skills profile.

Brookings 2024 finds graphic-design production tasks highly exposed; client discovery, brand stewardship, and creative-direction roles are augmentation-prone.

Similar occupations

O*NET 30.2 lists the following related roles. Each links to its own deep dive where one is published.

Industry context

This role sits primarily in the Creative Industries industry. The industry-level rollup includes the cross-occupation exposure profile and the BLS-published industry-level outlook.

How this assessment was made

The full methodology is at /methodology/: ILO 2025 refined index for the gradient, Brookings 2024 rubric for the task tags, BLS 2024-2034 for the growth outlook, WEF 2025 for the skills demand. The pre-empted critiques are at /how-to-argue-with-this/.

From the cluster