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Occupation deep dive / O*NET-SOC 25-2031.00 / Last verified April 2026

Will AI replace secondary school teachers?

ILO 2025 places secondary school teachers in the low exposure gradient. The role is heavy in classroom interaction, individualised instruction, and judgement under social-emotional uncertainty, all components where current generative AI is poorly positioned to substitute.

Panel 1 / Exposure

Low exposure

LOWMODERATEHIGHVERY HIGHILO 2025 EXPOSURE GRADIENT

ILO 2025 places secondary school teachers in the low exposure gradient. The role is heavy in classroom interaction, individualised instruction, and judgement under social-emotional uncertainty, all components where current generative AI is poorly positioned to substitute.

Source: ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index. ISCO-08 mapping 2330. View methodology.

Panel 2 / Tasks

Top tasks for this role

  • Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.

    AI-generated lesson materials are increasingly used; final pedagogical curation remains teacher-led.

  • Establish and enforce rules for behaviour and procedures for maintaining order among students.

    Classroom management is physical, social, and contextually constrained; augmentation-prone but not displaceable.

  • Adapt teaching methods and instructional materials to meet students' varying needs and interests.

    Individualised pedagogy is high-judgement and grows in importance as AI handles more of the standard content.

  • Observe and evaluate students' performance, behaviour, social development, and physical health.

    Holistic student observation is augmentation-prone per Brookings 2024 and remains human-led.

  • Prepare students for later grades by encouraging them to explore learning opportunities and persevere with challenging tasks.

    Mentoring and motivation are social-emotional tasks where current generative AI cannot substitute at task level.

Source: O*NET 30.2 task list (CC-BY 4.0); Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. View methodology.

Panel 3 / What is growing

Growth and skills outlook

BLS 2024-2034

Slower than average

+1% projected change (+11k jobs).

WEF 2025 / Top growing skills relevant to this role

  • Empathy and active listening (Self-efficacy)
  • AI and big data (Technology)
  • Resilience, flexibility and agility (Self-efficacy)

Brookings 2024 finds teaching tasks among the lowest-exposure categories: in-person instruction, classroom management, and student development are augmentation-prone but cannot be displaced at task level.

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034; WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025. View methodology.

What this occupation does

Secondary school teachers teach students in one or more subjects at the secondary level. The role spans lesson planning, classroom instruction, assessment, individual student support, and coordination with parents and school administration.

The exposure score in context

The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places secondary school teachers in the low exposure gradient. ILO 2025 places secondary school teachers in the low exposure gradient. The role is heavy in classroom interaction, individualised instruction, and judgement under social-emotional uncertainty, all components where current generative AI is poorly positioned to substitute.

The mapping uses ISCO-08 code 2330 (BLS-published SOC-to-ISCO crosswalk). The full methodology, including the dominant-match rule for one-to-many crosswalks, is at /methodology/#algorithm.

The top five tasks, classified

The top five O*NET 30.2 tasks for this occupation, each tagged Displaceable / Changing / Growing per the Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. The tag definitions are at /glossary/#displaceable-task, /glossary/#changing-task, and /glossary/#growing-task.

  1. Changing: Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities. AI-generated lesson materials are increasingly used; final pedagogical curation remains teacher-led.
  2. Growing: Establish and enforce rules for behaviour and procedures for maintaining order among students. Classroom management is physical, social, and contextually constrained; augmentation-prone but not displaceable.
  3. Growing: Adapt teaching methods and instructional materials to meet students' varying needs and interests. Individualised pedagogy is high-judgement and grows in importance as AI handles more of the standard content.
  4. Growing: Observe and evaluate students' performance, behaviour, social development, and physical health. Holistic student observation is augmentation-prone per Brookings 2024 and remains human-led.
  5. Growing: Prepare students for later grades by encouraging them to explore learning opportunities and persevere with challenging tasks. Mentoring and motivation are social-emotional tasks where current generative AI cannot substitute at task level.

What is growing in this role

The BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034 outlook for secondary school teachers is slower than average (+1% projected change, +11k jobs). Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top three growing skills relevant to this role are: Empathy and active listening, AI and big data, Resilience, flexibility and agility. The skills are mapped to the occupation's O*NET skills profile.

Brookings 2024 finds teaching tasks among the lowest-exposure categories: in-person instruction, classroom management, and student development are augmentation-prone but cannot be displaced at task level.

Similar occupations

O*NET 30.2 lists the following related roles. Each links to its own deep dive where one is published.

Industry context

This role sits primarily in the Education industry. The industry-level rollup includes the cross-occupation exposure profile and the BLS-published industry-level outlook.

How this assessment was made

The full methodology is at /methodology/: ILO 2025 refined index for the gradient, Brookings 2024 rubric for the task tags, BLS 2024-2034 for the growth outlook, WEF 2025 for the skills demand. The pre-empted critiques are at /how-to-argue-with-this/.

From the cluster