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Occupation deep dive / O*NET-SOC 43-6014.00 / Last verified June 2026

Will AI replace administrative assistants?

ILO 2025 places administrative assistants in the very high exposure gradient. Calendar management, correspondence, and document preparation are technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI; the augmentation-prone tasks are exception handling, sensitive coordination, and judgement-under-pressure work.

AI impact on administrative assistant jobs in 2025-2026

The direct answer: AI is changing administrative assistant work at task level, not eliminating the occupation outright. ILO 2025 places administrative assistants in the very high generative-AI exposure gradient, 3 of the top 5 O*NET tasks are classified displaceable, and BLS projects employment to decline 1.6% through 2034.

ILO 2025 exposure

Very HighFour-band gradient, refined index

Displaceable top tasks

3 of 5Brookings 2024 task rubric

BLS 2024-2034

-1.6%Decline, projected employment change

Will administrative assistants jobs grow or shrink by 2034?

The BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034 put administrative assistants at -1.6% projected employment change (about -30.8k jobs), classified decline. This is the official US decade projection from the National Employment Matrix, distinct from the ILO 2025 AI-exposure gradient above. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

personalise this exposure

The ILO national-average exposure for Administrative Assistants is 45%. Adjust the four inputs below to see how your specific role characteristics shift the number up or down.

Years in this kind of role

5 years

Your current AI-tool usage

% of work that is routine / repeatable

50%

% of work requiring judgement / relationships

30%

MODERATE EXPOSURE

41%

personalised AI exposure score ยท -4% vs ILO baseline (45%)

adjustment breakdown

Years experience adjustment0%
AI tooling (moderate)-4%
Routine work share0%
Judgement / relational work share0%

Heavy AI tooling adoption reduces personalised exposure (you're already augmenting). Routine fractions above 50% raise exposure. Years of experience modestly insulate (institutional knowledge, judgement). Judgement / relational fractions reduce exposure most. The model adjusts the ILO baseline by these factors; treat as a personalised reading, not a precise forecast.

Panel 1 / Exposure

Very High exposure

LOWMODERATEHIGHVERY HIGHILO 2025 EXPOSURE GRADIENT

ILO 2025 places administrative assistants in the very high exposure gradient. Calendar management, correspondence, and document preparation are technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI; the augmentation-prone tasks are exception handling, sensitive coordination, and judgement-under-pressure work.

Source: ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index. ISCO-08 mapping 4120. View methodology.

Panel 2 / Tasks

Top tasks for this role

  • Manage and maintain executives' schedules.

    AI scheduling assistants are widely deployed; standard calendar management is in scope.

  • Prepare invoices, reports, memos, letters, financial statements, and other documents.

    Standard-form document preparation is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.

  • Read and analyse incoming memos, submissions, and reports to determine their significance and plan their distribution.

    AI summarisation and triage are widely used; significance and confidentiality judgement remains human.

  • Open, sort, and distribute incoming correspondence, including faxes and email.

    Routine correspondence triage is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.

  • Conduct research, compile data, and prepare papers for consideration and presentation by executives, committees, and boards of directors.

    Executive-support research and synthesis grow in importance as AI handles more discrete tasks; judgement on sensitivity remains human.

Source: O*NET 30.2 task list (CC-BY 4.0); Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. View methodology.

Panel 3 / What is growing

Growth and skills outlook

BLS 2024-2034

Decline

-1.6% projected change (-30.8k jobs).

WEF 2025 / Top growing skills relevant to this role

  • AI and big data (Technology)
  • Technological literacy (Technology)
  • Resilience, flexibility and agility (Self-efficacy)

Brookings 2024 finds administrative work among the most-exposed; sensitive coordination, exception handling, and executive support are augmentation-prone.

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034; WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025. View methodology.

What this occupation does

Administrative assistants perform routine clerical and administrative duties. The role spans calendar management, correspondence, document preparation, meeting coordination, travel booking, and information routing across professional service organisations.

The exposure score in context

The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places administrative assistants in the very high exposure gradient. ILO 2025 places administrative assistants in the very high exposure gradient. Calendar management, correspondence, and document preparation are technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI; the augmentation-prone tasks are exception handling, sensitive coordination, and judgement-under-pressure work.

The mapping uses ISCO-08 code 4120 (BLS-published SOC-to-ISCO crosswalk). The full methodology, including the dominant-match rule for one-to-many crosswalks, is at /methodology/#algorithm.

The top five tasks, classified

The top five O*NET 30.2 tasks for this occupation, each tagged Displaceable / Changing / Growing per the Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. The tag definitions are at /glossary/#displaceable-task, /glossary/#changing-task, and /glossary/#growing-task.

  1. Displaceable: Manage and maintain executives' schedules. AI scheduling assistants are widely deployed; standard calendar management is in scope.
  2. Displaceable: Prepare invoices, reports, memos, letters, financial statements, and other documents. Standard-form document preparation is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.
  3. Changing: Read and analyse incoming memos, submissions, and reports to determine their significance and plan their distribution. AI summarisation and triage are widely used; significance and confidentiality judgement remains human.
  4. Displaceable: Open, sort, and distribute incoming correspondence, including faxes and email. Routine correspondence triage is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.
  5. Growing: Conduct research, compile data, and prepare papers for consideration and presentation by executives, committees, and boards of directors. Executive-support research and synthesis grow in importance as AI handles more discrete tasks; judgement on sensitivity remains human.

What is growing in this role

The BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034 outlook for administrative assistants is decline (-1.6% projected change, -30.8k jobs). Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top three growing skills relevant to this role are: AI and big data, Technological literacy, Resilience, flexibility and agility. The skills are mapped to the occupation's O*NET skills profile.

Brookings 2024 finds administrative work among the most-exposed; sensitive coordination, exception handling, and executive support are augmentation-prone.

Administrative Assistants in the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025

Administrative assistants and executive secretaries rank among the largest absolute declines in the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, a net loss of roughly 6 million roles globally to 2030 as scheduling, drafting, and coordination tasks are automated. Source: World Economic Forum, Future of Jobs Report 2025 (January 2025). The WEF lists are occupation-family level and global, ranked by change to 2030; they are distinct from the BLS 2024-2034 US projection above. The full named declining and growing lists are on what is growing.

Similar occupations

O*NET 30.2 lists the following related roles. Each links to its own deep dive where one is published.

Industry context

This role sits primarily in the Finance industry. The industry-level rollup includes the cross-occupation exposure profile and the BLS-published industry-level outlook.

How this assessment was made

The full methodology is at /methodology/: ILO 2025 refined index for the gradient, Brookings 2024 rubric for the task tags, BLS 2024-2034 for the growth outlook, WEF 2025 for the skills demand. The pre-empted critiques are at /how-to-argue-with-this/.

AI impact on administrative assistant jobs: frequently asked questions

Will AI replace administrative assistants in 2025-2026?

Not outright. The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places administrative assistants in the very high exposure gradient, and 3 of the top 5 O*NET 30.2 tasks are classified displaceable under the Brookings 2024 task rubric, with the rest changing or growing. AI is changing administrative assistant work at task level in 2025-2026 rather than eliminating the occupation.

Are administrative assistant jobs growing or declining?

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment for administrative assistants to decline 1.6% (decline), a projected change of -30.8k jobs between 2024 and 2034. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, National Employment Matrix.

Which administrative assistant tasks are most exposed to AI?

The most-exposed top tasks, classified displaceable under the Brookings 2024 rubric, are: manage and maintain executives' schedules; prepare invoices, reports, memos, letters, financial statements, and other documents; open, sort, and distribute incoming correspondence, including faxes and email.

What skills are growing for administrative assistants?

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top growing skills relevant to this role are AI and big data, Technological literacy, Resilience, flexibility and agility.

From the cluster