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Occupation deep dive / O*NET-SOC 43-4051.00 / Last verified June 2026

Will AI replace customer service representatives?

ILO 2025 places customer service representatives in the very high exposure gradient. Most discrete tasks (information lookup, standard responses, order processing) are technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI; complex empathy and judgement-under-pressure components are exposed but constrained.

AI impact on customer service jobs in 2025-2026

The direct answer: AI is changing customer service work at task level, not eliminating the occupation outright. ILO 2025 places customer service representatives in the very high generative-AI exposure gradient, 2 of the top 5 O*NET tasks are classified displaceable, and BLS projects employment to decline 5% through 2035.

ILO 2025 exposure

Very HighFour-band gradient, refined index

Displaceable top tasks

2 of 5Brookings 2024 task rubric

BLS 2025-2035

-5%Decline, projected employment change

Will customer service representatives jobs grow or shrink by 2035?

The BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035 put customer service representatives at -5% projected employment change, classified decline. BLS also projects about 289,500 openings each year on average over the decade, mostly from workers retiring or moving to other occupations, even where employment is flat or declining. This is the official US decade projection from the National Employment Matrix, distinct from the ILO 2025 AI-exposure gradient above. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035.

In its Occupational Outlook Handbook summary, BLS rounds this to -5% (decline) and reports a median annual wage of $44,780 (May 2025). Source: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

Is this the 2024-2034 or the 2025-2035 projection?

The current BLS projection round is 2025-2035, released on 27 August 2026 (USDL-26-1422). It supersedes the 2024-2034 round. This page shows the 2025-2035 figures for customer service representatives. If you have seen a different percentage quoted for this occupation elsewhere, it is most likely the retired 2024-2034 number rather than a contradiction. Across the whole economy the new round projects total employment rising from 170.3 million to 176.2 million jobs, a gain of 5.9 million or 3.5 percent, which is well below the 10.9 percent recorded over 2015-2025. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035 news release.

The new round also matters for this site specifically. Alongside the 2025-2035 projections, BLS published its own AI exposure categories for the first time, sorting the 831 detailed occupations it projects into Low, Moderate, High and Very High relative exposure. BLS builds the categories from three theoretical sources, which ask whether AI capabilities could match an occupation's tasks, and two observed sources drawn from 2023-2025 Claude and Copilot usage mapped to those tasks. BLS is explicit that the categories are relative rankings against other occupations, not absolute risk levels and not employment forecasts, which is the same caveat this site applies to the ILO gradient above. The two are independent measures and will not always agree. Source: BLS AI exposure categories. Checked 7 September 2026.

personalise this exposure

The ILO national-average exposure for Customer Service Representatives is 45%. Adjust the four inputs below to see how your specific role characteristics shift the number up or down.

Years in this kind of role

5 years

Your current AI-tool usage

% of work that is routine / repeatable

50%

% of work requiring judgement / relationships

30%

MODERATE EXPOSURE

41%

personalised AI exposure score ยท -4% vs ILO baseline (45%)

adjustment breakdown

Years experience adjustment0%
AI tooling (moderate)-4%
Routine work share0%
Judgement / relational work share0%

Heavy AI tooling adoption reduces personalised exposure (you're already augmenting). Routine fractions above 50% raise exposure. Years of experience modestly insulate (institutional knowledge, judgement). Judgement / relational fractions reduce exposure most. The model adjusts the ILO baseline by these factors; treat as a personalised reading, not a precise forecast.

Panel 1 / Exposure

Very High exposure

LOWMODERATEHIGHVERY HIGHILO 2025 EXPOSURE GRADIENT

ILO 2025 places customer service representatives in the very high exposure gradient. Most discrete tasks (information lookup, standard responses, order processing) are technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI; complex empathy and judgement-under-pressure components are exposed but constrained.

Source: ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index. ISCO-08 mapping 4222. View methodology.

Panel 2 / Tasks

Top tasks for this role

  • Confer with customers by telephone or in person to provide information about products or services, take or enter orders, cancel accounts, or obtain details of complaints.

    Standard inbound information handling is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI; many organisations have already deployed AI agents for this task.

  • Keep records of customer interactions or transactions, recording details of inquiries, complaints, or comments, as well as actions taken.

    Routine record-keeping is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.

  • Resolve customers' service or billing complaints by performing activities such as exchanging merchandise, refunding money, or adjusting bills.

    Standard complaint resolution is increasingly AI-handled; complex multi-account complaints involve judgement that remains human-led.

  • Refer unresolved customer grievances to designated departments for further investigation.

    Routing is AI-augmented; complex escalation triage remains human-led at most organisations.

  • Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.

    Quality and follow-up verification is augmentation-prone per Brookings 2024 and grows as AI handles the front-line work.

Source: O*NET 30.2 task list (CC-BY 4.0); Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. View methodology.

Panel 3 / What is growing

Growth and skills outlook

BLS 2025-2035

Decline

-5% projected change.

WEF 2025 / Top growing skills relevant to this role

  • AI and big data (Technology)
  • Empathy and active listening (Self-efficacy)
  • Resilience, flexibility and agility (Self-efficacy)

Brookings 2024 finds customer service among the most-exposed occupations; the augmentation-prone tasks are quality assurance, escalation handling, and complex empathy work.

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035; WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025. View methodology.

What this occupation does

Customer service representatives interact with customers to handle complaints, process orders, and answer questions about products or services. The role spans inbound and outbound calls, chat and email handling, account research, and escalation routing across consumer and business channels.

The exposure score in context

The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places customer service representatives in the very high exposure gradient. ILO 2025 places customer service representatives in the very high exposure gradient. Most discrete tasks (information lookup, standard responses, order processing) are technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI; complex empathy and judgement-under-pressure components are exposed but constrained.

The mapping uses ISCO-08 code 4222 (BLS-published SOC-to-ISCO crosswalk). The full methodology, including the dominant-match rule for one-to-many crosswalks, is at /methodology/#algorithm.

The top five tasks, classified

The top five O*NET 30.2 tasks for this occupation, each tagged Displaceable / Changing / Growing per the Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. The tag definitions are at /glossary/#displaceable-task, /glossary/#changing-task, and /glossary/#growing-task.

  1. Displaceable: Confer with customers by telephone or in person to provide information about products or services, take or enter orders, cancel accounts, or obtain details of complaints. Standard inbound information handling is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI; many organisations have already deployed AI agents for this task.
  2. Displaceable: Keep records of customer interactions or transactions, recording details of inquiries, complaints, or comments, as well as actions taken. Routine record-keeping is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.
  3. Changing: Resolve customers' service or billing complaints by performing activities such as exchanging merchandise, refunding money, or adjusting bills. Standard complaint resolution is increasingly AI-handled; complex multi-account complaints involve judgement that remains human-led.
  4. Changing: Refer unresolved customer grievances to designated departments for further investigation. Routing is AI-augmented; complex escalation triage remains human-led at most organisations.
  5. Growing: Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems. Quality and follow-up verification is augmentation-prone per Brookings 2024 and grows as AI handles the front-line work.

What is growing in this role

The BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035 outlook for customer service representatives is decline (-5% projected change). Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035.

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top three growing skills relevant to this role are: AI and big data, Empathy and active listening, Resilience, flexibility and agility. The skills are mapped to the occupation's O*NET skills profile.

Brookings 2024 finds customer service among the most-exposed occupations; the augmentation-prone tasks are quality assurance, escalation handling, and complex empathy work.

Similar occupations

O*NET 30.2 lists the following related roles. Each links to its own deep dive where one is published.

Industry context

This role sits primarily in the Retail industry. The industry-level rollup includes the cross-occupation exposure profile and the BLS-published industry-level outlook.

How this assessment was made

The full methodology is at /methodology/: ILO 2025 refined index for the gradient, Brookings 2024 rubric for the task tags, BLS 2025-2035 for the growth outlook, WEF 2025 for the skills demand. The pre-empted critiques are at /how-to-argue-with-this/.

AI impact on customer service jobs: frequently asked questions

Will AI replace customer service representatives in 2025-2026?

Not outright. The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places customer service representatives in the very high exposure gradient, and 2 of the top 5 O*NET 30.2 tasks are classified displaceable under the Brookings 2024 task rubric, with the rest changing or growing. AI is changing customer service work at task level in 2025-2026 rather than eliminating the occupation.

Are customer service jobs growing or declining?

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment for customer service representatives to decline 5% (decline) between 2025 and 2035. Even so, BLS projects about 289,500 openings for customer service representatives each year on average over the decade, mostly to replace workers who retire or move to other occupations. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035, National Employment Matrix.

What does BLS project for customer service representatives, 2025-2035?

The BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook projects employment of customer service representatives to decline 5% from 2025 to 2035, and reports a median annual wage of $44,780 (May 2025). About 289,500 openings are projected each year on average over the decade. Source: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

Which customer service tasks are most exposed to AI?

The most-exposed top tasks, classified displaceable under the Brookings 2024 rubric, are: confer with customers by telephone or in person to provide information about products or services, take or enter orders, cancel accounts, or obtain details of complaints; keep records of customer interactions or transactions, recording details of inquiries, complaints, or comments, as well as actions taken.

What skills are growing for customer service representatives?

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top growing skills relevant to this role are AI and big data, Empathy and active listening, Resilience, flexibility and agility.

Is this the BLS 2024-2034 or 2025-2035 employment outlook for customer service representatives?

The current round is 2025-2035, released by BLS on 27 August 2026 (USDL-26-1422), and it supersedes the 2024-2034 round. This page reports the 2025-2035 figures for customer service representatives, so a different percentage quoted elsewhere is most likely the retired 2024-2034 number. Economy-wide, the 2025-2035 round projects total employment rising from 170.3 million to 176.2 million jobs, a gain of 5.9 million or 3.5 percent, against 10.9 percent over 2015-2025. Alongside it BLS published its own AI exposure categories for the first time, sorting the 831 detailed occupations it projects into Low, Moderate, High and Very High relative exposure, built from three theoretical sources and two observed sources drawn from 2023-2025 Claude and Copilot usage. BLS states these are relative rankings, not absolute risk levels or employment forecasts. Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2025-2035 news release; BLS AI exposure categories.

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