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Occupation deep dive / O*NET-SOC 15-2051.00 / Last verified April 2026

Will AI replace data scientists?

ILO 2025 places data scientists in the moderate exposure gradient. Routine data wrangling and standard reporting are highly exposed; modelling, feature engineering, and stakeholder interpretation are augmentation-prone but not displaceable at task level.

Panel 1 / Exposure

Moderate exposure

LOWMODERATEHIGHVERY HIGHILO 2025 EXPOSURE GRADIENT

ILO 2025 places data scientists in the moderate exposure gradient. Routine data wrangling and standard reporting are highly exposed; modelling, feature engineering, and stakeholder interpretation are augmentation-prone but not displaceable at task level.

Source: ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index. ISCO-08 mapping 2120. View methodology.

Panel 2 / Tasks

Top tasks for this role

  • Apply feature selection algorithms to models predicting outcomes of interest, such as sales, attrition, and healthcare use.

    AutoML and AI-augmented feature selection are widely used; final modelling judgement remains human.

  • Apply sampling techniques to determine groups to be surveyed or use complete enumeration bases.

    Sampling design involves statistical judgement that grows in importance as AI handles more execution.

  • Compare models using statistical performance metrics, such as loss functions or proportion of explained variance.

    Model comparison is heavily AI-augmented; deployment judgement remains human.

  • Develop and implement procedures for cleaning data and handling outliers.

    Standard data-cleaning is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.

  • Present analytical findings to non-technical audiences.

    Stakeholder communication is augmentation-prone per Brookings 2024 and grows with the volume of analyses.

Source: O*NET 30.2 task list (CC-BY 4.0); Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. View methodology.

Panel 3 / What is growing

Growth and skills outlook

BLS 2024-2034

Much faster than average

+34% projected change (+70k jobs).

WEF 2025 / Top growing skills relevant to this role

  • AI and big data (Technology)
  • Analytical thinking (Cognitive)
  • Networks and cybersecurity (Technology)

Brookings 2024 finds data-science tasks across the spectrum: data preparation is exposed; modelling judgement, feature engineering, and stakeholder communication are augmentation-prone.

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034; WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025. View methodology.

What this occupation does

Data scientists develop and implement a set of techniques or analytics applications to transform raw data into meaningful information using data-oriented programming languages and visualisation software. The role spans data preparation, modelling, statistical analysis, dashboarding, and stakeholder communication.

The exposure score in context

The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places data scientists in the moderate exposure gradient. ILO 2025 places data scientists in the moderate exposure gradient. Routine data wrangling and standard reporting are highly exposed; modelling, feature engineering, and stakeholder interpretation are augmentation-prone but not displaceable at task level.

The mapping uses ISCO-08 code 2120 (BLS-published SOC-to-ISCO crosswalk). The full methodology, including the dominant-match rule for one-to-many crosswalks, is at /methodology/#algorithm.

The top five tasks, classified

The top five O*NET 30.2 tasks for this occupation, each tagged Displaceable / Changing / Growing per the Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. The tag definitions are at /glossary/#displaceable-task, /glossary/#changing-task, and /glossary/#growing-task.

  1. Changing: Apply feature selection algorithms to models predicting outcomes of interest, such as sales, attrition, and healthcare use. AutoML and AI-augmented feature selection are widely used; final modelling judgement remains human.
  2. Growing: Apply sampling techniques to determine groups to be surveyed or use complete enumeration bases. Sampling design involves statistical judgement that grows in importance as AI handles more execution.
  3. Changing: Compare models using statistical performance metrics, such as loss functions or proportion of explained variance. Model comparison is heavily AI-augmented; deployment judgement remains human.
  4. Displaceable: Develop and implement procedures for cleaning data and handling outliers. Standard data-cleaning is technically and contextually feasible for current generative AI.
  5. Growing: Present analytical findings to non-technical audiences. Stakeholder communication is augmentation-prone per Brookings 2024 and grows with the volume of analyses.

What is growing in this role

The BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034 outlook for data scientists is much faster than average (+34% projected change, +70k jobs). Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top three growing skills relevant to this role are: AI and big data, Analytical thinking, Networks and cybersecurity. The skills are mapped to the occupation's O*NET skills profile.

Brookings 2024 finds data-science tasks across the spectrum: data preparation is exposed; modelling judgement, feature engineering, and stakeholder communication are augmentation-prone.

Similar occupations

O*NET 30.2 lists the following related roles. Each links to its own deep dive where one is published.

Industry context

This role sits primarily in the Technology industry. The industry-level rollup includes the cross-occupation exposure profile and the BLS-published industry-level outlook.

How this assessment was made

The full methodology is at /methodology/: ILO 2025 refined index for the gradient, Brookings 2024 rubric for the task tags, BLS 2024-2034 for the growth outlook, WEF 2025 for the skills demand. The pre-empted critiques are at /how-to-argue-with-this/.

From the cluster