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Occupation deep dive / O*NET-SOC 15-1211.00 / Last verified June 2026

Will AI replace computer systems analysts?

ILO 2025 places systems analysts in the moderate exposure gradient. Routine coding, test scripting, documentation, and first-line support are highly exposed to current generative AI; requirements elicitation, stakeholder translation, and system design under organisational constraints are augmentation-prone but not displaceable at task level.

AI impact on systems analyst jobs in 2025-2026

The direct answer: AI is changing systems analyst work at task level, not eliminating the occupation outright. ILO 2025 places computer systems analysts in the moderate generative-AI exposure gradient, 0 of the top 5 O*NET tasks are classified displaceable, and BLS projects employment to grow 8.7% through 2034.

ILO 2025 exposure

ModerateFour-band gradient, refined index

Displaceable top tasks

0 of 5Brookings 2024 task rubric

BLS 2024-2034

+8.7%Much faster than average, projected employment change

Will computer systems analysts jobs grow or shrink by 2034?

The BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034 put computer systems analysts at +8.7% projected employment change (about +45.5k jobs), classified much faster than average. BLS also projects about 34,200 openings each year on average over the decade, mostly from workers retiring or moving to other occupations, even where employment is flat or declining. This is the official US decade projection from the National Employment Matrix, distinct from the ILO 2025 AI-exposure gradient above. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

In its Occupational Outlook Handbook summary, BLS rounds this to +9% (much faster than average) and reports a median annual wage of $103,790 (May 2024). BLS attributes the projected growth to organisations across the economy continuing to rely on and expand information technology, including artificial intelligence, and hiring analysts to design and install new computer systems. Source: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

personalise this exposure

The ILO national-average exposure for Computer Systems Analysts is 45%. Adjust the four inputs below to see how your specific role characteristics shift the number up or down.

Years in this kind of role

5 years

Your current AI-tool usage

% of work that is routine / repeatable

50%

% of work requiring judgement / relationships

30%

MODERATE EXPOSURE

41%

personalised AI exposure score ยท -4% vs ILO baseline (45%)

adjustment breakdown

Years experience adjustment0%
AI tooling (moderate)-4%
Routine work share0%
Judgement / relational work share0%

Heavy AI tooling adoption reduces personalised exposure (you're already augmenting). Routine fractions above 50% raise exposure. Years of experience modestly insulate (institutional knowledge, judgement). Judgement / relational fractions reduce exposure most. The model adjusts the ILO baseline by these factors; treat as a personalised reading, not a precise forecast.

Panel 1 / Exposure

Moderate exposure

LOWMODERATEHIGHVERY HIGHILO 2025 EXPOSURE GRADIENT

ILO 2025 places systems analysts in the moderate exposure gradient. Routine coding, test scripting, documentation, and first-line support are highly exposed to current generative AI; requirements elicitation, stakeholder translation, and system design under organisational constraints are augmentation-prone but not displaceable at task level.

Source: ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index. ISCO-08 mapping 2511. View methodology.

Panel 2 / Tasks

Top tasks for this role

  • Analyze information processing or computation needs and plan and design computer systems, using techniques such as structured analysis, data modeling, and information engineering.

    Eliciting requirements, reconciling competing stakeholder needs, and designing a system that fits an organisation's constraints is the least substitutable task and grows as AI absorbs more routine build work.

  • Use the computer in the analysis and solution of business problems, such as development of integrated production and inventory control and cost analysis systems.

    Generative AI accelerates modelling and prototyping; choosing which problem to solve and validating that the solution fits the business remains human judgement.

  • Test, maintain, and monitor computer programs and systems, including coordinating the installation of computer programs and systems.

    Automated and AI-assisted testing and monitoring absorb routine effort; coordinating installation across teams and systems stays human-led.

  • Provide staff and users with assistance solving computer-related problems, such as malfunctions and program problems.

    AI copilots and assistants handle routine, well-documented issues; diagnosing novel or cross-system problems and advising users remains a human task.

  • Troubleshoot program and system malfunctions to restore normal functioning.

    AI diagnostics speed up fault isolation, but restoring service on an unfamiliar or interacting failure still relies on the analyst's system knowledge.

Source: O*NET 30.2 task list (CC-BY 4.0); Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. View methodology.

Panel 3 / What is growing

Growth and skills outlook

BLS 2024-2034

Much faster than average

+8.7% projected change (+45.5k jobs).

WEF 2025 / Top growing skills relevant to this role

  • Analytical thinking (Cognitive)
  • Technological literacy (Technology)
  • AI and big data (Technology)

Brookings 2024 places requirements analysis, systems design, and cross-functional coordination among the augmentation-prone tasks; routine coding, test scripting, and first-line support are exposed to substitution, while judgement-heavy design and stakeholder translation are augmentation-prone.

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034; WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025. View methodology.

What this occupation does

Computer systems analysts study an organisation's existing computer systems and procedures and design changes to make them more efficient, acting as the bridge between business needs and information technology. The role spans requirements analysis, system and data-flow design, cost-benefit analysis, testing and installation oversight, and translating between managers and technical teams.

The exposure score in context

The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places computer systems analysts in the moderate exposure gradient. ILO 2025 places systems analysts in the moderate exposure gradient. Routine coding, test scripting, documentation, and first-line support are highly exposed to current generative AI; requirements elicitation, stakeholder translation, and system design under organisational constraints are augmentation-prone but not displaceable at task level.

The mapping uses ISCO-08 code 2511 (BLS-published SOC-to-ISCO crosswalk). The full methodology, including the dominant-match rule for one-to-many crosswalks, is at /methodology/#algorithm.

The top five tasks, classified

The top five O*NET 30.2 tasks for this occupation, each tagged Displaceable / Changing / Growing per the Brookings 2024 task-level rubric. The tag definitions are at /glossary/#displaceable-task, /glossary/#changing-task, and /glossary/#growing-task.

  1. Growing: Analyze information processing or computation needs and plan and design computer systems, using techniques such as structured analysis, data modeling, and information engineering. Eliciting requirements, reconciling competing stakeholder needs, and designing a system that fits an organisation's constraints is the least substitutable task and grows as AI absorbs more routine build work.
  2. Changing: Use the computer in the analysis and solution of business problems, such as development of integrated production and inventory control and cost analysis systems. Generative AI accelerates modelling and prototyping; choosing which problem to solve and validating that the solution fits the business remains human judgement.
  3. Changing: Test, maintain, and monitor computer programs and systems, including coordinating the installation of computer programs and systems. Automated and AI-assisted testing and monitoring absorb routine effort; coordinating installation across teams and systems stays human-led.
  4. Changing: Provide staff and users with assistance solving computer-related problems, such as malfunctions and program problems. AI copilots and assistants handle routine, well-documented issues; diagnosing novel or cross-system problems and advising users remains a human task.
  5. Changing: Troubleshoot program and system malfunctions to restore normal functioning. AI diagnostics speed up fault isolation, but restoring service on an unfamiliar or interacting failure still relies on the analyst's system knowledge.

What is growing in this role

The BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034 outlook for computer systems analysts is much faster than average (+8.7% projected change, +45.5k jobs). Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top three growing skills relevant to this role are: Analytical thinking, Technological literacy, AI and big data. The skills are mapped to the occupation's O*NET skills profile.

Brookings 2024 places requirements analysis, systems design, and cross-functional coordination among the augmentation-prone tasks; routine coding, test scripting, and first-line support are exposed to substitution, while judgement-heavy design and stakeholder translation are augmentation-prone.

Similar occupations

O*NET 30.2 lists the following related roles. Each links to its own deep dive where one is published.

Industry context

This role sits primarily in the Technology industry. The industry-level rollup includes the cross-occupation exposure profile and the BLS-published industry-level outlook.

How this assessment was made

The full methodology is at /methodology/: ILO 2025 refined index for the gradient, Brookings 2024 rubric for the task tags, BLS 2024-2034 for the growth outlook, WEF 2025 for the skills demand. The pre-empted critiques are at /how-to-argue-with-this/.

AI impact on systems analyst jobs: frequently asked questions

Will AI replace computer systems analysts in 2025-2026?

Not outright. The ILO 2025 refined Generative AI Occupational Exposure Index places computer systems analysts in the moderate exposure gradient, and none of the top 5 O*NET 30.2 tasks are classified fully displaceable: the exposed tasks are changing rather than disappearing. AI is changing systems analyst work at task level in 2025-2026 rather than eliminating the occupation.

Are systems analyst jobs growing or declining?

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment for computer systems analysts to grow 8.7% (much faster than average), a projected change of +45.5k jobs between 2024 and 2034. Even so, BLS projects about 34,200 openings for computer systems analysts each year on average over the decade, mostly to replace workers who retire or move to other occupations. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, National Employment Matrix.

What does BLS project for computer systems analysts, 2024-2034?

The BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook projects employment of computer systems analysts to grow 9% (much faster than average) from 2024 to 2034, and reports a median annual wage of $103,790 (May 2024). About 34,200 openings are projected each year on average over the decade. BLS attributes the projected growth to organisations across the economy continuing to rely on and expand information technology, including artificial intelligence, and hiring analysts to design and install new computer systems. Source: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook.

What skills are growing for computer systems analysts?

Per the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025, the top growing skills relevant to this role are Analytical thinking, Technological literacy, AI and big data.

Will information systems and systems analyst jobs be replaced by AI?

Not on the current evidence. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics projects computer systems analyst employment (SOC 15-1211) to grow 8.7 percent from 2024 to 2034, about 9 percent in the OOH summary and much faster than the 3 percent average for all occupations, adding roughly 45,500 jobs from a 2024 base of 521,100, with about 34,200 openings a year and a median annual wage of $103,790 (May 2024). BLS attributes the growth to organisations expanding information technology, including AI. ILO 2025 places the role in the moderate exposure gradient: routine coding, test scripting, and first-line support are exposed to generative AI, but requirements analysis, stakeholder translation, and system design are augmentation-prone. The task mix is changing rather than the occupation being displaced.

From the cluster